Monday, November 5, 2007
Office Status Update
Due to the small threat of severe weather in our area of responsibility, our office will now operate in Alert Mode. There are currently no watches or warnings, but a slight risk of severe weather from the SPC. Stay tuned to the NWS for the latest in the severe weather situation.
Storm Update
A strong storm possibly producing pea-sized hail will move into Mississippi County by 4:30 pm. Portions of this squall line are producing .63" hail according to radar estimates, at the time of this update. Also, some frequent lightning is occurring in this storm. This storm is not expected to become severe at this time.
Storm Motion: 282/37
MEHS: .63
ET: 29.2
POSH: 0
VIL: 15.6
VILD: 2.4
Storm Motion: 282/37
MEHS: .63
ET: 29.2
POSH: 0
VIL: 15.6
VILD: 2.4
Special WXSIM Forecast
CALIBRATION RUN:
DATE TIME TEMP WIND R.HUM SLP LI SI TT KI PC/HR WEATHER
Nov 5 9:50 A 56.4 7 66 29.95 +11.4 +10 35 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 5 10:05 A 57.2 8 65 29.95 +11.1 +10 35 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 5 10:20 A 57.9 8 63 29.94 +10.9 +10 35 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 5 10:35 A 58.6 9 61 29.94 +10.7 +10 35 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 5 10:50 A 59.4 7 59 29.94 +10.5 +10 35 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 5 11:05 A 60.1 7 58 29.93 +10.3 +10 35 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 5 11:20 A 60.7 8 56 29.93 +10.2 +10 35 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 5 11:35 A 61.3 10 55 29.92 +10.0 +10 35 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 5 11:50 A 61.9 10 54 29.92 +9.9 +10 35 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 5 12:05 P 62.3 10 53 29.91 +9.8 +10 35 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 5 12:20 P 62.7 10 52 29.90 +9.7 +10 36 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 5 12:35 P 63.0 9 51 29.90 +9.6 +10 36 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 5 12:50 P 63.3 9 51 29.89 +9.5 +10 36 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 5 1:05 P 63.5 9 50 29.89 +9.5 +10 36 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 5 1:20 P 63.7 10 50 29.88 +9.5 +10 36 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 5 1:35 P 63.7 9 49 29.88 +9.5 +10 36 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 5 1:50 P 63.8 11 49 29.88 +9.5 +10 36 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 5 2:05 P 63.8 10 49 29.87 +9.5 +10 36 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 5 2:20 P 63.8 9 49 29.87 +9.5 +10 36 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 5 2:35 P 63.8 9 49 29.87 +9.5 +10 35 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 5 2:50 P 63.7 9 49 29.87 +9.5 +10 35 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 5 3:05 P 63.5 9 49 29.87 +9.6 +10 35 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 5 3:20 P 63.3 7 50 29.87 +9.7 +10 35 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 5 3:35 P 63.0 6 50 29.88 +9.7 +10 35 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 5 3:50 P 62.7 6 51 29.88 +9.8 +10 35 12 2 P.-M.CLDY
FORECAST RUN:
DATE TIME TEMP WIND R.HUM SLP LI SI TT KI PC/HR WEATHER
AUTO CLOUDS OFF
Nov 5 3:55 P 76.1 25 53 29.88 +1.6 +5 42 22 2 M.C.-CLDY
Showers very unlikely
Nov 5 4:10 P 75.5 21 53 29.89 +1.8 +3 44 24 5 M.C.-CLDY DRIZZLE
Showers unlikely
Nov 5 4:25 P 74.9 20 54 29.89 +2.0 +3 44 24 4 M.C.-CLDY DRIZZLE
Nov 5 4:40 P 74.4 18 55 29.90 +2.3 +3 44 24 4 M.C.-CLDY DRIZZLE
Nov 5 4:55 P 73.3 17 57 29.91 +2.6 +3 44 25 5 CLOUDY DRIZZLE
SURFACE WIND NOW FROM 279
Nov 5 5:10 P 72.0 15 61 29.91 +2.5 +3 44 24 5 CLOUDY DRIZZLE
SURFACE WIND NOW FROM 248
Nov 5 5:25 P 70.5 14 64 29.92 +2.8 +3 44 24 4 M.C.-CLDY DRIZZLE
Showers very unlikely
Nov 5 5:40 P 69.3 13 66 29.93 +3.2 +3 45 24 3 M.CLOUDY DRIZZLE
Nov 5 5:55 P 68.5 12 67 29.94 +4.1 +3 45 25 3 M.CLOUDY DRIZZLE
Nov 5 6:10 P 67.7 11 68 29.95 +4.4 +3 45 24 2 M.CLOUDY DRIZZLE
Nov 5 6:25 P 67.0 10 70 29.96 +4.6 +3 45 24 2 M.CLOUDY DRIZZLE
Nov 5 6:40 P 66.4 10 71 29.97 +4.7 +3 44 23 2 M.CLOUDY DRIZZLE
No shower or thunderstorm activity expected
Nov 5 6:55 P 65.8 10 72 29.98 +4.9 +4 44 22 3 M.CLOUDY DRIZZLE
Nov 5 7:10 P 65.2 10 73 29.98 +5.0 +4 43 21 2 M.CLOUDY DRIZZLE
Nov 5 7:25 P 64.4 10 75 29.99 +5.3 +4 43 20 3 CLOUDY LIGHT RAIN
SURFACE WIND NOW FROM 5
Nov 5 7:40 P 63.6 10 78 30.00 +4.5 +4 43 20 4 CLOUDY LIGHT RAIN
SURFACE WIND NOW FROM 282
Nov 5 7:55 P 62.6 10 79 30.01 +5.3 +5 41 18 3 CLOUDY LIGHT RAIN
Nov 5 8:10 P 61.7 10 80 30.02 +5.7 +6 41 17 3 CLOUDY LIGHT RAIN
Nov 5 8:25 P 61.0 10 80 30.03 +6.2 +6 40 16 2 M.C.-CLDY DRIZZLE
Nov 5 8:40 P 60.6 10 80 30.04 +7.0 +7 39 15 2 M.C.-CLDY DRIZZLE
Nov 5 8:55 P 60.2 11 79 30.04 +7.3 +7 39 14 2 M.C.-CLDY DRIZZLE
Nov 5 9:10 P 59.8 11 79 30.05 +7.6 +7 38 13 2 M.C.-CLDY DRIZZLE
Nov 5 9:25 P 59.5 11 79 30.06 +7.8 +8 38 12 2 M.C.-CLDY DRIZZLE
Nov 5 9:40 P 59.1 11 78 30.07 +8.2 +9 37 10 2 M.C.-CLDY DRIZZLE
SURFACE WIND NOW FROM 316
Nov 5 9:55 P 58.8 11 78 30.08 +8.5 +9 36 9 2 M.C.-CLDY DRIZZLE
Nov 5 10:10 P 58.4 11 76 30.09 +9.0 +9 36 8 2 M.C.-CLDY DRIZZLE
Nov 5 10:25 P 57.9 12 75 30.09 +9.4 +10 35 7 3 CLOUDY DRIZZLE
Nov 5 10:40 P 57.5 12 75 30.10 +9.5 +11 33 5 3 CLOUDY DRIZZLE
Nov 5 10:55 P 57.1 12 74 30.11 +9.9 +11 32 4 3 CLOUDY DRIZZLE
Nov 5 11:10 P 56.8 12 74 30.12 +10.2 +12 31 2 3 CLOUDY DRIZZLE
Nov 5 11:25 P 56.4 12 73 30.13 +10.5 +12 30 0 2 M.C.-CLDY DRIZZLE
Nov 5 11:40 P 56.1 12 73 30.14 +11.1 +13 29 -2 2 M.C.-CLDY DRIZZLE
SURFACE WIND NOW FROM 350
Nov 5 11:55 P 55.8 12 73 30.15 +11.5 +13 28 -3 2 M.C.-CLDY DRIZZLE
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tuesday
Nov 6 12:10 A 55.3 12 72 30.16 +12.0 +14 26 -5 2 M.C.-CLDY
Nov 6 12:25 A 54.8 12 72 30.16 +12.4 +14 26 -5 1 P.-M.CLDY
Nov 6 12:40 A 54.3 12 72 30.17 +13.1 +14 26 -5 1 P.CLOUDY
Nov 6 12:55 A 53.8 12 71 30.18 +13.6 +15 25 -5 0 P.CLOUDY
Nov 6 1:10 A 53.3 12 71 30.19 +13.9 +15 25 -5 0 P.CLOUDY
Nov 6 1:25 A 52.8 12 72 30.19 +14.2 +15 24 -5 0 FAIR-P.C.
Nov 6 1:40 A 52.4 11 72 30.20 +14.5 +15 24 -5 0 FAIR-P.C.
Nov 6 1:55 A 51.9 11 72 30.20 +14.8 +16 23 -5 0 FAIR
Nov 6 2:10 A 51.4 11 72 30.21 +15.1 +16 23 -6 0 FAIR
Nov 6 2:25 A 51.0 11 72 30.21 +15.3 +16 22 -6 0 FAIR
Nov 6 2:40 A 50.6 10 73 30.22 +15.6 +16 22 -6 0 CLR-FAIR
Nov 6 2:55 A 50.1 10 73 30.22 +15.8 +17 21 -6 0 CLR-FAIR
Nov 6 3:10 A 49.7 10 73 30.23 +16.0 +17 20 -7 0 CLR-FAIR
Nov 6 3:25 A 49.3 10 74 30.23 +16.3 +17 20 -8 0 CLR-FAIR
Nov 6 3:40 A 48.9 9 74 30.24 +16.5 +17 20 -9 0 CLR-FAIR
Nov 6 3:55 A 48.5 9 74 30.24 +16.7 +17 20-10 0 CLR-FAIR
Nov 6 4:10 A 48.1 9 75 30.25 +16.9 +18 19-12 0 CLR-FAIR
Nov 6 4:25 A 47.8 9 75 30.25 +17.0 +18 19-13 0 CLR-FAIR
Nov 6 4:40 A 47.4 9 75 30.26 +17.2 +18 19-14 0 CLR-FAIR
Nov 6 4:55 A 47.1 8 76 30.26 +17.4 +18 19-16 0 CLR-FAIR
Nov 6 5:10 A 46.7 8 76 30.27 +17.6 +18 19-17 0 CLR-FAIR
Nov 6 5:25 A 46.4 8 76 30.27 +17.7 +18 18-19 0 CLR-FAIR
Nov 6 5:40 A 46.1 8 76 30.28 +17.9 +19 18-21 0 CLR-FAIR
Nov 6 5:55 A 45.8 8 77 30.29 +18.1 +19 18-23 0 CLR-FAIR
Nov 6 6:10 A 45.5 8 77 30.30 +18.2 +19 18-25 0 CLR-FAIR
Nov 6 6:25 A 45.2 7 77 30.30 +18.4 +19 17-25 0 CLR-FAIR
Nov 6 6:40 A 44.9 7 77 30.31 +18.5 +19 17-26 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 6:55 A 45.0 7 77 30.32 +18.6 +19 17-26 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 7:10 A 45.3 8 76 30.33 +18.6 +20 16-27 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 7:25 A 45.8 8 74 30.33 +18.5 +20 16-28 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 7:40 A 46.4 8 72 30.34 +18.5 +20 15-28 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 7:55 A 47.1 8 70 30.34 +18.3 +20 15-29 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 8:10 A 47.9 8 67 30.35 +18.2 +20 15-29 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 8:25 A 48.7 8 65 30.35 +18.0 +20 14-30 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 8:40 A 49.7 8 63 30.36 +17.9 +20 14-30 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 8:55 A 50.6 8 60 30.36 +17.7 +21 14-31 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 9:10 A 51.6 9 58 30.37 +17.4 +21 13-32 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 9:25 A 52.6 9 56 30.37 +17.2 +21 13-32 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 9:40 A 53.5 9 54 30.37 +17.0 +21 13-33 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 9:55 A 54.5 9 52 30.37 +16.8 +21 13-33 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 10:10 A 55.4 9 50 30.37 +16.6 +21 12-33 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 10:25 A 56.2 9 48 30.37 +16.4 +21 12-34 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 10:40 A 56.9 9 47 30.36 +16.2 +21 12-34 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 10:55 A 57.3 9 46 30.36 +16.2 +21 12-35 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 11:10 A 57.6 9 45 30.36 +16.1 +21 12-35 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 11:25 A 57.9 9 44 30.36 +16.1 +21 11-35 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 11:40 A 58.0 9 44 30.35 +16.1 +21 11-36 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 11:55 A 58.2 8 43 30.35 +16.1 +21 11-36 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 12:10 P 58.3 8 43 30.34 +16.1 +21 11-36 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 12:25 P 58.4 8 42 30.34 +16.1 +21 11-36 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 12:40 P 58.4 9 42 30.34 +16.1 +21 12-36 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 12:55 P 58.5 9 42 30.33 +16.1 +21 12-36 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 1:10 P 58.5 9 41 30.33 +16.2 +21 12-35 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 1:25 P 58.6 9 41 30.33 +16.1 +21 13-35 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 1:40 P 58.6 9 41 30.32 +16.2 +21 13-35 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 1:55 P 58.6 9 41 30.32 +16.2 +21 13-35 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 2:10 P 58.5 9 40 30.32 +16.2 +21 13-35 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 2:25 P 58.5 9 40 30.32 +16.2 +21 14-35 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 2:40 P 58.4 9 40 30.32 +16.3 +21 14-35 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 2:55 P 58.4 9 40 30.32 +16.4 +21 14-35 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 3:10 P 58.2 9 40 30.32 +16.4 +21 14-35 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 3:25 P 58.0 9 40 30.32 +16.5 +21 14-34 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 3:40 P 57.6 9 41 30.33 +16.7 +21 14-34 0 SUNNY
Nov 6 3:55 P 57.1 9 41 30.33 +16.8 +21 14-34 0 SUNNY
Summary (min and max values):
DATE MIN MAX MIN AT MAX AT DEW PT R.HUM %V.S.T. WIND SUNRISE SUNSET
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Nov 5 * 55 77 11:55 P 3:55 P 47 58 53 81 32 64 10 25 6:25 A 5:01 P
Nov 6 * 44 59 6:48 A 1:33 P 34 47 40 77 38 92 7 12 6:26 A 5:01 P
* incomplete data
Supplemental data: (means, except totals for solar energy, %PCH, and PTOT)
DATE TEMP DEW PT %RH W.SPD RS.WS RS.WD %SC %SUN Wh/m^2 %PCH PTOT SN.DEP
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Nov 5 * 64.0 54.3 71 12.5 9.7 269 91 13 37 30 0.04 0.0
Nov 6 * 52.6 38.5 60 9.1 9.1 349 21 99 3612 2 0.00 0.0
* incomplete data
Nighttime lows and daytime highs:
Mon Tue
Nov 5 Nov 6
|M 77|44 59|
Totals ( complete days ) :
WXSIM text forecast for Germantown, initialized at 3:55 PM Nov 5, 2007
_______________________________________________________________________________
This afternoon: Mostly cloudy to cloudy. A slight chance of rain. High 77. Wind
southwest around 17 mph, gusting to 30 mph. Chance of precipitation less than 20
percent. Precipitation mostly less than a tenth of an inch.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy to cloudy in the evening, becoming fair to partly cloudy
after midnight. A chance of rain. Low 44. Wind west-northwest around 11 mph in
the evening, becoming north after midnight. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Precipitation mostly less than a tenth of an inch.
USE SCROLL BAR ON RIGHT TO REVIEW DATA
WXSIM Discussion
A special WXSIM run will occur at 2210Z (4:10 pm CST) for the severe weather threat tonight. A discussion of the output will follow.
About site
Many users of our information have requested a website containing our public products. This site is experimental, and could go down at any time for any reason.
Here is a list of the products we offer:
Here is a list of the products we offer:
- WXSIM - special WXSIM model runs, run manually for a special weather event
- DATA - status messages regarding our live data streams
- STATUS - messages about the current status of our office
- DISCUSSION - accompanies WXSIM products occasionally, discusses the forecaster thoughts on the WXSIM output
- WEBSITE - information regarding the www.germantownwx.com website
- STORM - information on a certain storm area not yet covered by NWS products, usually below severe limits but noteworthy
- SPOT - special forecasts for certain non-weather events (sports, church events, etc.)
- SEVERE - a live "blog" on a major severe (or winter) weather outbreak, usually recounts all NWS products issued, and talks about forecasters' thoughts on the situation
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